Inter vs FC Barcelona: Goal-Filled Semi-Final Second Leg – Analysis and Betting Tips

In the second leg of the Champions League semi-final, Internazionale will host Barcelona on May 6 at the San Siro. The first leg ended in a thrilling 3-3 draw at Camp Nou, leaving the door wide open for both teams to reach the final. After a goal-heavy opening match, the return fixture promises plenty of excitement and valuable betting opportunities.

Form and Statistical Background

Inter remain in excellent form at home. They have avoided defeat in 12 of their last 14 competitive home matches, scoring at least two goals in nine of those games. Their defense is solid, with midfield shielding contributing to several clean sheets in Champions League home games.

Barcelona, on the other hand, have been outstanding on the road this season. They’ve gone unbeaten in 25 of their last 27 away matches in all competitions, scoring in 25 of them. Their attacking play has been dynamic all season, with nearly every Champions League match featuring three or more goals.

Head-to-Head Results

The two sides have met multiple times in the Champions League over the past decade. Barcelona have won six of their last 10 encounters, while Inter have claimed victory just once. Notably, both teams have scored in each of the last three meetings, making a goal exchange likely again.

Betting Tips

Both Teams to Score – YES:
The first leg ended 3-3, and both sides possess strong attacking lines. Inter, led by Lautaro Martínez and Thuram, are almost always productive at home, while Barcelona—powered by Lewandowski and Gündoğan—can strike at any moment.

Over 2.5 Goals:
Given their scoring averages and current form, another high-scoring match is expected. 92% of Barcelona’s Champions League games this season have featured over 2.5 goals, and Inter are no strangers to goal fests either, especially at home.

Barcelona to Win (or DNB – Draw No Bet):
While Inter’s home form is strong, Barcelona have more experience and composure in international fixtures. If luck or refereeing doesn’t interfere, the Catalans have a slight edge to win the match.

This second leg is a high-stakes fixture that will require tactical discipline and attacking efficiency. Based on the stats and recent form, a goal-filled encounter is very likely, making goal-based bets the most valuable option.